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- Group admin:
- Fromz
- Created:
- November 25, 2007
- 288 Members
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- Helpful (1060)
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- Inspirational (320)
From the original post:
2008-05-07 16:47:25.0
A quote or two from a current BBC article:
Professor Andrew Watson at the University of East Anglia...
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Posted: Jul 10, 08 1:55am
Sorry, this did not work for me as it used to.
Now it does.
Posted: Jul 10, 08 10:12am
Now, thanks to editor, we can confidently go where science does not fear to tread, but not boldly...
Posted: Jul 10, 08 10:23am
Oh my, that was worth me saving the day. Can we say c-l-e-v-e-r?
Posted: Jul 10, 08 12:59pm
Sticking in my dos Dineros, computer modelling is only as good as its programming. If the programmers use faulty logic, unwarranted/erroneous assumptions, etc, then the computer prediction is going to similarly be in error.
As far as predicting the weather, the folks at Freakonomics did a statistical study of how accurate weather forecasts are. What they uncovered is that weather forecasts are reasonably reliable for a three day period from the day of the forecast. After that, youre guess is as good as theirs - maybe better.
Posted: Jul 10, 08 4:03pm
Sticking in my dos Dineros, computer modelling is only as good as its programming. If the programmers use faulty logic, unwarranted/erroneous assumptions, etc, then the computer prediction is going to similarly be in error.
As far as predicting the weather, the folks at Freakonomics did a statistical study of how accurate weather forecasts are. What they uncovered is that weather forecasts are reasonably reliable for a three day period from the day of the forecast. After that, youre guess is as good as theirs - maybe better.
I don't think they've collected data for a long enough period of time to use for predictions. 100 yrs. of weather info is nothing - it's like a snapshot in time.